{ "asset_observed_at_utc": "2026-07-25T04:59:19+00:00", "capabilities": [ { "artifact_integrity": "workflow_dependent", "capability": "Autonomous self-improvement", "capability_id": "clay-autonomous-self-improvement", "category": "agent", "claim_boundary": "A gated training workflow is not an unrestricted self-improving agent.", "current_host_state": "gated_scaffold", "evidence": "reported", "evidence_summary": "Resumable training and promotion gates exist; unrestricted autonomous learning does not.", "implementation_class": "governed_pipeline", "product_id": "clay", "publish_decision": "publish_with_scope", "required_proof": "Pre-registered objective, fixed evaluator, rollback, independent holdout, resource ledger, and human authorization receipts.", "source_status": "partial" }, { "artifact_integrity": "unknown", "capability": "Bijective token representation and inverse", "capability_id": "clay-bijective-token-cycle", "category": "symbolic_language", "claim_boundary": "Exact token inversion does not demonstrate semantic English understanding.", "current_host_state": "receipt_not_imported", "evidence": "reported", "evidence_summary": "The source-node review reports 25,600/25,600 exact representation and inverse cycles.", "implementation_class": "deterministic_system", "product_id": "clay", "publish_decision": "hold_pending_receipt", "required_proof": "Import the evaluator output, token universe definition, executable command, and source hash.", "source_status": "proven_on_source_host" }, { "artifact_integrity": "not_applicable", "capability": "Chemistry knowledge", "capability_id": "clay-chemistry", "category": "science", "claim_boundary": "Using chemistry-inspired constraints is not chemistry question-answering capability.", "current_host_state": "not_qualified", "evidence": "reported", "evidence_summary": "Chemistry currently contributes conservation receipts, not learned chemistry knowledge.", "implementation_class": "native_model", "product_id": "clay", "publish_decision": "publish_as_reported_boundary", "required_proof": "Curated held-out chemistry benchmark, contamination audit, baselines, calibration, and multi-seed results.", "source_status": "absent" }, { "artifact_integrity": "verified", "capability": "Scoped code/opcode prediction", "capability_id": "clay-code-growth", "category": "coding", "claim_boundary": "This is a scoped internal code/opcode evaluator, not HumanEval or general software engineering.", "current_host_state": "artifact_and_report_hash_verified", "evidence": "reported", "evidence_summary": "Promoted cap-then-grow receipt reports 0.506 mean coding accuracy across three seeds, SD 0.034699; representative seed peak 0.536.", "implementation_class": "native_model", "product_id": "clay", "publish_decision": "publish_with_scope", "required_proof": "Re-run from the hashed parent, preserve task IDs, and add a standardized held-out coding benchmark.", "source_status": "partial" }, { "artifact_integrity": "partial_environment_boundary", "capability": "Cross-computer coordination", "capability_id": "clay-cross-computer-coordination", "category": "infrastructure", "claim_boundary": "Connectivity and durable coordination are infrastructure capabilities, not native model intelligence.", "current_host_state": "ledger_endpoint_currently_unavailable", "evidence": "reported", "evidence_summary": "The source-node review reports SSH, Tailscale, a verified bridge, and shared-ledger coordination.", "implementation_class": "deterministic_system", "product_id": "clay", "publish_decision": "publish_with_scope", "required_proof": "Fresh two-host round trip, ledger replica receipt, failure recovery, and clock-skew handling.", "source_status": "proven_on_source_host" }, { "artifact_integrity": "not_applicable", "capability": "Documents, research, and subagent orchestration", "capability_id": "clay-doc-research-orchestration", "category": "agent", "claim_boundary": "Successful orchestration is a system result and must attribute every external model and tool.", "current_host_state": "external_dependency", "evidence": "reported", "evidence_summary": "Terminal orchestration can route work to Ollama or external agents.", "implementation_class": "external_orchestration", "product_id": "clay", "publish_decision": "publish_with_scope", "required_proof": "Task-level route traces, model/tool attribution, success criteria, cost, latency, and human interventions.", "source_status": "partial" }, { "artifact_integrity": "architecture_only", "capability": "General add/subtract/multiply", "capability_id": "clay-general-arithmetic", "category": "mathematics", "claim_boundary": "Architecture presence is not a trained arithmetic capability.", "current_host_state": "not_qualified", "evidence": "reported", "evidence_summary": "Architecture exists, but no qualified unified checkpoint was identified.", "implementation_class": "native_model", "product_id": "clay", "publish_decision": "publish_as_reported_boundary", "required_proof": "Checkpoint, operation-balanced held-out set, length extrapolation, multi-seed accuracy, and baselines.", "source_status": "scaffold_only" }, { "artifact_integrity": "not_applicable", "capability": "General software coding", "capability_id": "clay-general-software-coding", "category": "coding", "claim_boundary": "External-model coding output must not be attributed to Clay's native weights.", "current_host_state": "external_dependency", "evidence": "reported", "evidence_summary": "General coding is currently routed to qwen2.5-coder:3b or another external model.", "implementation_class": "external_model", "product_id": "clay", "publish_decision": "publish_with_scope", "required_proof": "Per-task model attribution, tool trace, execution result, and cost/latency receipt.", "source_status": "external_model" }, { "artifact_integrity": "unknown", "capability": "5x5 clean glyph letters", "capability_id": "clay-glyph-clean-letters", "category": "vision", "claim_boundary": "Dataset size, alphabet, split, and seed are not yet available on this host.", "current_host_state": "receipt_not_imported", "evidence": "reported", "evidence_summary": "The source-node review reports 92.3% accuracy on clean letters.", "implementation_class": "native_model", "product_id": "clay", "publish_decision": "hold_pending_receipt", "required_proof": "Import glyph dataset manifest, split, evaluator, confusion matrix, seed, and checkpoint hash.", "source_status": "proven_on_source_host" }, { "artifact_integrity": "unknown", "capability": "5x5 clean glyph trits", "capability_id": "clay-glyph-clean-trits", "category": "vision", "claim_boundary": "A perfect score is held until denominator, split, and duplicate controls are imported.", "current_host_state": "receipt_not_imported", "evidence": "reported", "evidence_summary": "The source-node review reports 100% accuracy on clean trits.", "implementation_class": "native_model", "product_id": "clay", "publish_decision": "hold_pending_receipt", "required_proof": "Import evaluator receipt, denominator, duplicate scan, split, seed, and checkpoint hash.", "source_status": "proven_on_source_host" }, { "artifact_integrity": "unknown", "capability": "5x5 noisy glyph recognition", "capability_id": "clay-glyph-noisy", "category": "vision", "claim_boundary": "Noise sampling, task balance, repeats, and confidence interval are not yet imported.", "current_host_state": "receipt_not_imported", "evidence": "reported", "evidence_summary": "The source-node review reports about 69% with two flipped pixels.", "implementation_class": "native_model", "product_id": "clay", "publish_decision": "hold_pending_receipt", "required_proof": "Import deterministic corruption seeds, all noise strata, task counts, baseline, and dispersion.", "source_status": "partial" }, { "artifact_integrity": "verified", "capability": "Grounding / honesty judgment", "capability_id": "clay-grounding-judge", "category": "governance", "claim_boundary": "One 18-example held-out challenge is preliminary and does not establish general honesty.", "current_host_state": "artifact_and_manifest_hash_verified", "evidence": "reported", "evidence_summary": "A promoted character-GRU judge reports held-out MAE improvement from 0.722222 to 0.666667 on 18 examples.", "implementation_class": "native_model", "product_id": "clay", "publish_decision": "publish_with_scope", "required_proof": "Larger grouped challenge split, three seeds, calibrated intervals, and an untouched external test.", "source_status": "partial" }, { "artifact_integrity": "unknown", "capability": "Hyperbolic-radius mathematics", "capability_id": "clay-hyperbolic-radius", "category": "mathematics", "claim_boundary": "A temporary peak is adaptive selection evidence and must not replace a multi-seed estimate.", "current_host_state": "receipt_not_imported", "evidence": "reported", "evidence_summary": "The source-node review reports 16.7% for a broad checkpoint and a temporary 20% peak.", "implementation_class": "native_model", "product_id": "clay", "publish_decision": "hold_pending_receipt", "required_proof": "Import all runs, seeds, task IDs, baseline, dispersion, and selected-checkpoint rule.", "source_status": "partial" }, { "artifact_integrity": "unknown", "capability": "Matrix mathematics", "capability_id": "clay-matrix-math", "category": "mathematics", "claim_boundary": "The task distribution and denominator are unknown on this host.", "current_host_state": "receipt_not_imported", "evidence": "reported", "evidence_summary": "The source-node review reports a best held-out result of about 25%, with mass-matrix entries strongest.", "implementation_class": "native_model", "product_id": "clay", "publish_decision": "hold_pending_receipt", "required_proof": "Import evaluator, task strata, denominator, seeds, baseline, and checkpoint hash.", "source_status": "partial" }, { "artifact_integrity": "hash_verified", "capability": "MNIST / general vision", "capability_id": "clay-mnist", "category": "vision", "claim_boundary": "Artifact presence does not establish MNIST accuracy or general vision.", "current_host_state": "artifact_present_metric_missing", "evidence": "verified", "evidence_summary": "The source node reported a missing weight; this PC has clay_mnist.pt, but no qualifying evaluator receipt was found.", "implementation_class": "native_model", "product_id": "clay", "publish_decision": "publish_as_host_conflict", "required_proof": "Identify architecture, dataset split, preprocessing, evaluator, score, and checkpoint provenance.", "source_status": "host_conflict" }, { "artifact_integrity": "unknown", "capability": "Musical opcode voice", "capability_id": "clay-musical-opcode-audio", "category": "audio", "claim_boundary": "This is deterministic tone transport, not English speech or learned audio understanding.", "current_host_state": "receipt_not_imported", "evidence": "reported", "evidence_summary": "The source-node review reports byte-preserving real-scale audio encode/decode.", "implementation_class": "deterministic_system", "product_id": "clay", "publish_decision": "hold_pending_receipt", "required_proof": "Codec command, corpus size, corruption/noise conditions, exact round-trip counts, and artifact hashes.", "source_status": "proven_on_source_host" }, { "artifact_integrity": "verified", "capability": "Native counting", "capability_id": "clay-native-counting", "category": "mathematics", "claim_boundary": "This score applies to one scoped counting evaluator, not general mathematics or language ability.", "current_host_state": "artifact_and_report_hash_verified", "evidence": "reported", "evidence_summary": "The current stored sovereign checkpoint report records 0.296296 held-out accuracy.", "implementation_class": "native_model", "product_id": "clay", "publish_decision": "publish_with_scope", "required_proof": "Re-run evaluator, recover sample count and split definition, and add at least three seeds.", "source_status": "partial" }, { "artifact_integrity": "trainer_only", "capability": "Native generated Kaggle responses", "capability_id": "clay-native-kaggle-responses", "category": "agent", "claim_boundary": "AAP predictions produced by external models or deterministic ensembles are not native Clay generation.", "current_host_state": "not_qualified", "evidence": "reported", "evidence_summary": "A trainer exists, but no promoted native generator checkpoint was identified.", "implementation_class": "native_model", "product_id": "clay", "publish_decision": "publish_as_reported_boundary", "required_proof": "Promoted generator, frozen task set, official-format validator, ROC-AUC receipt, cost, and safety failures.", "source_status": "scaffold_only" }, { "artifact_integrity": "missing_runtime_alias", "capability": "Default Clay Ollama personality", "capability_id": "clay-ollama-personality", "category": "language", "claim_boundary": "A personality wrapper is not a native Clay language checkpoint.", "current_host_state": "not_qualified", "evidence": "reported", "evidence_summary": "A Modelfile exists on the source node, but its Clay Ollama alias was not installed.", "implementation_class": "external_model_wrapper", "product_id": "clay", "publish_decision": "publish_as_reported_boundary", "required_proof": "Installed alias receipt plus explicit attribution to the underlying external model.", "source_status": "scaffold_only" }, { "artifact_integrity": "not_applicable", "capability": "Open-ended English conversation", "capability_id": "clay-open-ended-english", "category": "language", "claim_boundary": "Clay cannot currently be represented as a native conversational language model.", "current_host_state": "not_qualified", "evidence": "reported", "evidence_summary": "No promoted native language checkpoint was identified in the source-node review.", "implementation_class": "native_model", "product_id": "clay", "publish_decision": "publish_as_reported_boundary", "required_proof": "Promoted checkpoint, held-out generation evaluator, task set, decoding configuration, and multi-seed result.", "source_status": "absent" }, { "artifact_integrity": "environment_dependent", "capability": "Persistent memory", "capability_id": "clay-persistent-memory", "category": "infrastructure", "claim_boundary": "This is deterministic persisted state, not learned neural memory.", "current_host_state": "available_with_current_ledger_outage", "evidence": "reported", "evidence_summary": "Files and the Context Ledger provide persistence.", "implementation_class": "deterministic_system", "product_id": "clay", "publish_decision": "publish_with_scope", "required_proof": "Recovery drill, replica consistency receipt, retention policy, and outage behavior.", "source_status": "proven" }, { "artifact_integrity": "source_receipt_present", "capability": "Six-Tongue language/compiler", "capability_id": "clay-six-tongue-compiler", "category": "symbolic_language", "claim_boundary": "A deterministic compiler bijection is not native natural-language understanding.", "current_host_state": "machine_readable_receipt_present_not_rerun", "evidence": "reported", "evidence_summary": "Current-host session receipt reports 1,897,201/1,897,201 round-trips with zero ambiguity and deterministic execution checks.", "implementation_class": "deterministic_system", "product_id": "clay", "publish_decision": "publish_with_scope", "required_proof": "Re-run the exact round-trip and malformed-input suites from a clean checkout.", "source_status": "proven" }, { "artifact_integrity": "missing", "capability": "Speech recognition / microphone understanding", "capability_id": "clay-stt", "category": "speech", "claim_boundary": "Audio transport or tones do not establish speech recognition.", "current_host_state": "not_qualified", "evidence": "reported", "evidence_summary": "No speech-to-text model was found in the source-node review.", "implementation_class": "native_model", "product_id": "clay", "publish_decision": "publish_as_reported_boundary", "required_proof": "STT checkpoint, audio corpus provenance, WER evaluator, split, and noise strata.", "source_status": "absent" }, { "artifact_integrity": "not_applicable", "capability": "Natural-language terminal chat", "capability_id": "clay-terminal-chat", "category": "language", "claim_boundary": "Natural-language output belongs to the routed external model, not Clay's learned weights.", "current_host_state": "external_dependency", "evidence": "reported", "evidence_summary": "Terminal routing can call installed Qwen or Llama models.", "implementation_class": "external_model", "product_id": "clay", "publish_decision": "publish_with_scope", "required_proof": "Record the selected external model, version, prompt, tools, latency, and task receipt.", "source_status": "partial" }, { "artifact_integrity": "hash_verified", "capability": "Tool routing", "capability_id": "clay-tool-routing", "category": "agent", "claim_boundary": "The deterministic terminal router works independently; a present learned weight has no qualified score yet.", "current_host_state": "learned_artifact_present_metric_missing", "evidence": "verified", "evidence_summary": "The source node reported its learned weight missing; this PC has clay_tool_router.pt. Deterministic routing and learned routing remain separate claims.", "implementation_class": "hybrid", "product_id": "clay", "publish_decision": "publish_as_host_conflict", "required_proof": "Import route labels and split, verify no shortcut leakage, compare zero-parameter and size-matched controls, and run multiple seeds.", "source_status": "host_conflict" }, { "artifact_integrity": "missing", "capability": "Natural spoken voice / TTS", "capability_id": "clay-tts", "category": "speech", "claim_boundary": "Musical opcode audio must not be described as human speech.", "current_host_state": "not_qualified", "evidence": "reported", "evidence_summary": "No human-speech synthesizer was found in the source-node repository review.", "implementation_class": "native_model", "product_id": "clay", "publish_decision": "publish_as_reported_boundary", "required_proof": "TTS model, text normalization, vocoder, intelligibility evaluation, and audio samples.", "source_status": "absent" }, { "artifact_integrity": "hash_verified", "capability": "Writing style / long-form prose", "capability_id": "clay-writing", "category": "language", "claim_boundary": "A weight file and corpus do not establish coherent long-form generation.", "current_host_state": "artifact_present_metric_missing", "evidence": "verified", "evidence_summary": "The source node reported a missing source root; this PC has clay_writing.pt, but no promoted generation evaluator.", "implementation_class": "native_model", "product_id": "clay", "publish_decision": "publish_as_host_conflict", "required_proof": "Recover tokenizer/architecture, generate on held-out prompts, blind-rate coherence/style, and compare baselines.", "source_status": "host_conflict" } ], "competitions": [ { "category": "Featured", "deadline": "2026-09-01 23:59:00", "direction": "higher", "links": { "discussion": "https://www.kaggle.com/competitions/ai-agent-security-multi-step-tool-attacks/discussion", "evaluation": "https://www.kaggle.com/competitions/ai-agent-security-multi-step-tool-attacks/overview/evaluation", "leaderboard": "https://www.kaggle.com/competitions/ai-agent-security-multi-step-tool-attacks/leaderboard", "overview": "https://www.kaggle.com/competitions/ai-agent-security-multi-step-tool-attacks/overview", "rules": "https://www.kaggle.com/competitions/ai-agent-security-multi-step-tool-attacks/rules" }, "metric": "normalized attack score", "name": "AI Agent Security - Multi-Step Tool Attacks", "next_action": "Hold terse/framing variants until a new measured signal beats v34; preserve runtime/model errors as inconclusive.", "priority": "P1", "rank": { "evidence": "reported", "value": 442 }, "score": { "evidence": "verified", "limitation": "Public leaderboard evidence is adaptive, not independent validation.", "observed_at_utc": "2026-07-25T05:49:09+00:00", "submission_ref": "54815607", "value": 84.42 }, "slug": "ai-agent-security-multi-step-tool-attacks", "stage": "active_board_champion", "team_count": 2338, "track": "agent_security" }, { "category": "Featured", "deadline": "2026-11-02 23:59:00", "direction": "higher", "links": { "discussion": "https://www.kaggle.com/competitions/arc-prize-2026-arc-agi-2/discussion", "evaluation": "https://www.kaggle.com/competitions/arc-prize-2026-arc-agi-2/overview/evaluation", "leaderboard": "https://www.kaggle.com/competitions/arc-prize-2026-arc-agi-2/leaderboard", "overview": "https://www.kaggle.com/competitions/arc-prize-2026-arc-agi-2/overview", "rules": "https://www.kaggle.com/competitions/arc-prize-2026-arc-agi-2/rules" }, "metric": "exact task-output accuracy with two attempts", "name": "ARC Prize 2026 - ARC-AGI-2", "next_action": "Build transformation-family validation and exact-output evaluator tests before expanding the solver.", "priority": "P3", "rank": { "evidence": "reported", "value": 1187 }, "score": { "evidence": "verified", "limitation": "Public leaderboard evidence is adaptive, not independent validation.", "observed_at_utc": "2026-07-25T05:49:09+00:00", "submission_ref": "54529870", "value": 0.0 }, "slug": "arc-prize-2026-arc-agi-2", "stage": "research_frontier", "team_count": 1246, "track": "abstract_reasoning" }, { "category": "Featured", "deadline": "2026-11-02 23:59:00", "direction": "higher", "links": { "discussion": "https://www.kaggle.com/competitions/arc-prize-2026-arc-agi-3/discussion", "evaluation": "https://www.kaggle.com/competitions/arc-prize-2026-arc-agi-3/overview/evaluation", "leaderboard": "https://www.kaggle.com/competitions/arc-prize-2026-arc-agi-3/leaderboard", "overview": "https://www.kaggle.com/competitions/arc-prize-2026-arc-agi-3/overview", "rules": "https://www.kaggle.com/competitions/arc-prize-2026-arc-agi-3/rules" }, "metric": "mean capped game score", "name": "ARC Prize 2026 - ARC-AGI-3", "next_action": "Measure goal-inference separately from action exploration; preserve zero as frontier evidence, not an evaluator failure.", "priority": "P3", "rank": { "evidence": "missing", "value": null }, "score": { "evidence": "missing", "limitation": "Public leaderboard evidence is adaptive, not independent validation.", "observed_at_utc": "2026-07-25T05:49:09+00:00", "submission_ref": null, "value": null }, "slug": "arc-prize-2026-arc-agi-3", "stage": "research_frontier", "team_count": 1905, "track": "interactive_reasoning" }, { "category": "Playground", "deadline": "2026-08-06 23:59:00", "direction": "higher", "links": { "discussion": "https://www.kaggle.com/competitions/autonomous-agent-prediction-beta/discussion", "evaluation": "https://www.kaggle.com/competitions/autonomous-agent-prediction-beta/overview/evaluation", "leaderboard": "https://www.kaggle.com/competitions/autonomous-agent-prediction-beta/leaderboard", "overview": "https://www.kaggle.com/competitions/autonomous-agent-prediction-beta/overview", "rules": "https://www.kaggle.com/competitions/autonomous-agent-prediction-beta/rules" }, "metric": "ROC AUC", "name": "Autonomous Agent Prediction (Beta)", "next_action": "Evaluate the nearly-ready route/write agent against fixed public tasks and budget receipts; do not submit until lift and safety gates pass.", "priority": "P0", "rank": { "evidence": "reported", "value": 237 }, "score": { "evidence": "verified", "limitation": "Public leaderboard evidence is adaptive, not independent validation.", "observed_at_utc": "2026-07-25T05:49:09+00:00", "submission_ref": "54916328", "value": 0.801 }, "slug": "autonomous-agent-prediction-beta", "stage": "live_v19_plus_new_candidate_to_evaluate", "team_count": 298, "track": "agent" }, { "category": "Community", "deadline": "2026-08-13 06:55:00", "direction": "higher", "links": { "discussion": "https://www.kaggle.com/competitions/skill-lift/discussion", "evaluation": "https://www.kaggle.com/competitions/skill-lift/overview/evaluation", "leaderboard": "https://www.kaggle.com/competitions/skill-lift/leaderboard", "overview": "https://www.kaggle.com/competitions/skill-lift/overview", "rules": "https://www.kaggle.com/competitions/skill-lift/rules" }, "metric": "paired skill lift with safety gate", "name": "BenchFlow - Agent Skill Lift", "next_action": "Run the fixed 144-job matrix per model only after explicit model-run authorization; compare no-skill, submitted v1, and v3 arms.", "priority": "P1", "rank": { "evidence": "missing", "value": null }, "score": { "evidence": "missing", "limitation": "Public leaderboard evidence is adaptive, not independent validation.", "observed_at_utc": "2026-07-25T05:49:09+00:00", "submission_ref": null, "value": null }, "slug": "skill-lift", "stage": "static_candidate_ready", "team_count": 141, "track": "agent_skills" }, { "category": "Research", "deadline": "2026-09-29 23:59:00", "direction": "higher", "links": { "discussion": "https://www.kaggle.com/competitions/biohub-cell-tracking-during-development/discussion", "evaluation": "https://www.kaggle.com/competitions/biohub-cell-tracking-during-development/overview/evaluation", "leaderboard": "https://www.kaggle.com/competitions/biohub-cell-tracking-during-development/leaderboard", "overview": "https://www.kaggle.com/competitions/biohub-cell-tracking-during-development/overview", "rules": "https://www.kaggle.com/competitions/biohub-cell-tracking-during-development/rules" }, "metric": "adjusted edge Jaccard + 0.1 × division Jaccard", "name": "Biohub - Cell Tracking During Development", "next_action": "Reconcile the scored plus_head submission ref 54865376 against the later train-only v2 checkpoint before any further inference or submission.", "priority": "P1", "rank": { "evidence": "reported", "value": 307 }, "score": { "evidence": "verified", "limitation": "Public leaderboard evidence is adaptive, not independent validation.", "observed_at_utc": "2026-07-25T05:49:09+00:00", "submission_ref": "54759928", "value": 0.902 }, "slug": "biohub-cell-tracking-during-development", "stage": "lineage_conflict_reconcile_before_action", "team_count": 1612, "track": "biomedical_vision" }, { "category": "Getting Started", "deadline": "2030-01-01 00:00:00", "direction": "higher", "links": { "discussion": "https://www.kaggle.com/competitions/connectx/discussion", "evaluation": "https://www.kaggle.com/competitions/connectx/overview/evaluation", "leaderboard": "https://www.kaggle.com/competitions/connectx/leaderboard", "overview": "https://www.kaggle.com/competitions/connectx/overview", "rules": "https://www.kaggle.com/competitions/connectx/rules" }, "metric": "Gaussian skill rating mu", "name": "Connect X", "next_action": "Retain the live v3 agent; only reconsider after a candidate clears the two-pooled-SD threshold at equal time and adds proven solver coverage.", "priority": "P3", "rank": { "evidence": "verified", "value": 91 }, "score": { "evidence": "verified", "limitation": "Dynamic ladder rating; value changes as episodes complete.", "observed_at_utc": "2026-07-25T05:49:09+00:00", "submission_ref": null, "value": 915.0 }, "slug": "connectx", "stage": "live_agent_protected", "team_count": 323, "track": "simulation_practice" }, { "category": "Research", "deadline": "2026-07-15 23:59:00", "direction": "missing", "links": { "discussion": "https://www.kaggle.com/competitions/neurogolf-2026/discussion", "evaluation": "https://www.kaggle.com/competitions/neurogolf-2026/overview/evaluation", "leaderboard": "https://www.kaggle.com/competitions/neurogolf-2026/leaderboard", "overview": "https://www.kaggle.com/competitions/neurogolf-2026/overview", "rules": "https://www.kaggle.com/competitions/neurogolf-2026/rules" }, "metric": "competition score", "name": "NeuroGolf 2026", "next_action": "Archive final lineage; reuse components only through new held-out tests.", "priority": "P4", "rank": { "evidence": "missing", "value": null }, "score": { "evidence": "verified", "limitation": "Public leaderboard evidence is adaptive, not independent validation.", "observed_at_utc": "2026-07-25T05:49:09+00:00", "submission_ref": "54747095", "value": 7365.76 }, "slug": "neurogolf-2026", "stage": "closed", "team_count": 2963, "track": "archive" }, { "category": "Featured", "deadline": "2026-08-05 23:59:00", "direction": "lower", "links": { "discussion": "https://www.kaggle.com/competitions/rogii-wellbore-geology-prediction/discussion", "evaluation": "https://www.kaggle.com/competitions/rogii-wellbore-geology-prediction/overview/evaluation", "leaderboard": "https://www.kaggle.com/competitions/rogii-wellbore-geology-prediction/leaderboard", "overview": "https://www.kaggle.com/competitions/rogii-wellbore-geology-prediction/overview", "rules": "https://www.kaggle.com/competitions/rogii-wellbore-geology-prediction/rules" }, "metric": "RMSE", "name": "ROGII - Wellbore Geology Prediction", "next_action": "Require a genuinely new geometry or blend signal that survives well-held-out validation; do not reuse the refuted amged path.", "priority": "P1", "rank": { "evidence": "reported", "value": 3870 }, "score": { "evidence": "verified", "limitation": "Public leaderboard evidence is adaptive, not independent validation.", "observed_at_utc": "2026-07-25T05:49:09+00:00", "submission_ref": "54817198", "value": 12.677 }, "slug": "rogii-wellbore-geology-prediction", "stage": "active_board_champion_but_large_gap", "team_count": 5661, "track": "tabular_geoscience" } ], "experiments": [ { "competition_slug": "autonomous-agent-prediction-beta", "decision": "HOLD", "evidence": "verified", "experiment_id": "aap-v19-live", "limitations": "The account best improved, but this is one adaptive public score with no recovered multi-seed local lineage.", "metric": "ROC AUC", "proof_state": "SINGLE_RUN", "public_score": 0.801 }, { "competition_slug": "ai-agent-security-multi-step-tool-attacks", "decision": "HOLD", "evidence": "verified", "experiment_id": "agentsec-v34", "limitations": "One adaptive public-board result; private guardrail and run variance remain held out.", "metric": "normalized attack score", "proof_state": "SINGLE_RUN", "public_score": 84.42 }, { "competition_slug": "ai-agent-security-multi-step-tool-attacks", "decision": "REJECT", "evidence": "verified", "experiment_id": "agentsec-v35-terse", "limitations": "Rejects this board variant; does not estimate general cross-model effect.", "metric": "normalized attack score", "proof_state": "SUPPORTED_REJECTION", "public_score": 76.5 }, { "competition_slug": "biohub-cell-tracking-during-development", "decision": "REJECT", "evidence": "verified", "experiment_id": "biohub-dog-scale-plus-head-public", "limitations": "The scored plus_head artifact may not be identical to the later train-only v2 checkpoint; reconcile hashes before architecture-level conclusions.", "metric": "combined tracking score", "proof_state": "SUPPORTED_REJECTION", "public_score": 0.889 }, { "competition_slug": "rogii-wellbore-geology-prediction", "decision": "REJECT", "evidence": "verified", "experiment_id": "rogii-amged-scorer-safe", "limitations": "The expected 7–9 path is refuted by the scored artifact; blank sibling submissions are missing evidence.", "metric": "RMSE", "proof_state": "SUPPORTED_REJECTION", "public_score": 698.457 }, { "competition_slug": "rogii-wellbore-geology-prediction", "decision": "HOLD", "evidence": "verified", "experiment_id": "rogii-v4-gated-tri-idw", "limitations": "Local validation materially mis-ranks candidates on this board; score alone is adaptive.", "metric": "RMSE", "proof_state": "SINGLE_RUN", "public_score": 12.677 } ], "gold_roadmap": [ { "competition": "Biohub - Cell Tracking During Development", "competition_slug": "biohub-cell-tracking-during-development", "current_rank": 307, "current_score": 0.902, "deadline": "2026-09-29 23:59:00", "direction": "higher", "discussion_url": "https://www.kaggle.com/competitions/biohub-cell-tracking-during-development/discussion", "evaluation_url": "https://www.kaggle.com/competitions/biohub-cell-tracking-during-development/overview/evaluation", "focus_order": 1, "forum_state": "current_full_review", "horizon": "medium", "lane": "primary_medal_lane", "leaderboard_url": "https://www.kaggle.com/competitions/biohub-cell-tracking-during-development/leaderboard", "medal_claim_state": "rules_review_required", "next_milestone": "Resolve submission lineage, reproduce the official metric locally, and test a held-out sequence intervention that improves edge and division evidence without lowering node recall.", "observed_at_utc": "2026-07-25T05:49:09+00:00", "priority": "P1", "proxy_evidence": "verified_read_only_leaderboard", "proxy_rank": 17, "proxy_score": 0.912, "proxy_state": "below_proxy", "rank_evidence": "reported", "rank_gap_to_proxy": 290, "research_gate": "PASS_RESEARCH_FRESHNESS_ONLY", "research_snapshot_utc": "2026-07-25T07:12:05+00:00", "review_cadence": "twice_weekly", "rules_url": "https://www.kaggle.com/competitions/biohub-cell-tracking-during-development/rules", "score_evidence": "verified", "score_gap_to_proxy": 0.01, "stage": "lineage_conflict_reconcile_before_action", "target_boundary": "This is a planning proxy, not an official medal cutoff and not independent validation. Final private standings, eligibility rules, team size, and competition award policy control any actual medal.", "target_policy": "top_one_percent_public_proxy", "team_count": 1612, "why_now": "Smallest measured top-1% score gap among active medal-oriented tracks, with the longest practical validation runway." }, { "competition": "AI Agent Security - Multi-Step Tool Attacks", "competition_slug": "ai-agent-security-multi-step-tool-attacks", "current_rank": 442, "current_score": 84.42, "deadline": "2026-09-01 23:59:00", "direction": "higher", "discussion_url": "https://www.kaggle.com/competitions/ai-agent-security-multi-step-tool-attacks/discussion", "evaluation_url": "https://www.kaggle.com/competitions/ai-agent-security-multi-step-tool-attacks/overview/evaluation", "focus_order": 2, "forum_state": "current_metadata_only", "horizon": "medium", "lane": "secondary_medal_lane", "leaderboard_url": "https://www.kaggle.com/competitions/ai-agent-security-multi-step-tool-attacks/leaderboard", "medal_claim_state": "rules_review_required", "next_milestone": "Lock success, failure, and inconclusive evaluator states; then measure one bounded multi-step defense change against benign-control and attack-path suites.", "observed_at_utc": "2026-07-25T05:49:09+00:00", "priority": "P1", "proxy_evidence": "verified_read_only_leaderboard", "proxy_rank": 24, "proxy_score": 93.955, "proxy_state": "below_proxy", "rank_evidence": "reported", "rank_gap_to_proxy": 418, "research_gate": "BLOCK_REVIEW_REQUIRED", "research_snapshot_utc": "2026-07-25T07:12:05+00:00", "review_cadence": "twice_weekly", "rules_url": "https://www.kaggle.com/competitions/ai-agent-security-multi-step-tool-attacks/rules", "score_evidence": "verified", "score_gap_to_proxy": 9.535, "stage": "active_board_champion", "target_boundary": "This is a planning proxy, not an official medal cutoff and not independent validation. Final private standings, eligibility rules, team size, and competition award policy control any actual medal.", "target_policy": "top_one_percent_public_proxy", "team_count": 2338, "why_now": "An active champion and evaluator discipline already exist, but the current score gap still requires measured capability rather than packaging." }, { "competition": "Autonomous Agent Prediction (Beta)", "competition_slug": "autonomous-agent-prediction-beta", "current_rank": 237, "current_score": 0.801, "deadline": "2026-08-06 23:59:00", "direction": "higher", "discussion_url": "https://www.kaggle.com/competitions/autonomous-agent-prediction-beta/discussion", "evaluation_url": "https://www.kaggle.com/competitions/autonomous-agent-prediction-beta/overview/evaluation", "focus_order": 3, "forum_state": "current_metadata_only", "horizon": "near", "lane": "near_term_validation_lane", "leaderboard_url": "https://www.kaggle.com/competitions/autonomous-agent-prediction-beta/leaderboard", "medal_claim_state": "rules_review_required_beta_track", "next_milestone": "Run the fixed paired task/control evaluation for the hash-locked candidate; keep predictive HOLD unless it produces real lift within the official time and cost budget.", "observed_at_utc": "2026-07-25T05:49:09+00:00", "priority": "P0", "proxy_evidence": "verified_read_only_leaderboard", "proxy_rank": 3, "proxy_score": 0.826, "proxy_state": "below_proxy", "rank_evidence": "reported", "rank_gap_to_proxy": 234, "research_gate": "BLOCK_REVIEW_REQUIRED", "research_snapshot_utc": "2026-07-25T07:12:05+00:00", "review_cadence": "daily_until_deadline", "rules_url": "https://www.kaggle.com/competitions/autonomous-agent-prediction-beta/rules", "score_evidence": "verified", "score_gap_to_proxy": 0.025, "stage": "live_v19_plus_new_candidate_to_evaluate", "target_boundary": "This is a planning proxy, not an official medal cutoff and not independent validation. Final private standings, eligibility rules, team size, and competition award policy control any actual medal.", "target_policy": "top_one_percent_public_proxy", "team_count": 298, "why_now": "The candidate is already packaged and the absolute score gap is compact, but the deadline is close and local evidence currently shows no lift." }, { "competition": "ROGII - Wellbore Geology Prediction", "competition_slug": "rogii-wellbore-geology-prediction", "current_rank": 3870, "current_score": 12.677, "deadline": "2026-08-05 23:59:00", "direction": "lower", "discussion_url": "https://www.kaggle.com/competitions/rogii-wellbore-geology-prediction/discussion", "evaluation_url": "https://www.kaggle.com/competitions/rogii-wellbore-geology-prediction/overview/evaluation", "focus_order": 4, "forum_state": "current_metadata_only", "horizon": "near", "lane": "deadline_triage_lane", "leaderboard_url": "https://www.kaggle.com/competitions/rogii-wellbore-geology-prediction/leaderboard", "medal_claim_state": "rules_review_required", "next_milestone": "Verify the local split and evaluator against the official metric; attempt only one high-information error-analysis branch before reserving the final submission slot.", "observed_at_utc": "2026-07-25T05:49:09+00:00", "priority": "P1", "proxy_evidence": "verified_read_only_leaderboard", "proxy_rank": 57, "proxy_score": 6.249, "proxy_state": "below_proxy", "rank_evidence": "reported", "rank_gap_to_proxy": 3813, "research_gate": "BLOCK_REVIEW_REQUIRED", "research_snapshot_utc": "2026-07-25T07:12:05+00:00", "review_cadence": "daily_until_deadline", "rules_url": "https://www.kaggle.com/competitions/rogii-wellbore-geology-prediction/rules", "score_evidence": "verified", "score_gap_to_proxy": 6.428, "stage": "active_board_champion_but_large_gap", "target_boundary": "This is a planning proxy, not an official medal cutoff and not independent validation. Final private standings, eligibility rules, team size, and competition award policy control any actual medal.", "target_policy": "top_one_percent_public_proxy", "team_count": 5661, "why_now": "The deadline is closest and the measured gap is large, so this is a bounded triage lane rather than the primary gold bet." }, { "competition": "The Pokémon Company - PTCG AI Battle Challenge Simulation", "competition_slug": "pokemon-tcg-ai-battle", "current_rank": 3535, "current_score": 581.0, "deadline": "2026-08-16 23:59:00", "direction": "higher", "discussion_url": "https://www.kaggle.com/competitions/pokemon-tcg-ai-battle/discussion", "evaluation_url": "https://www.kaggle.com/competitions/pokemon-tcg-ai-battle/overview/evaluation", "focus_order": 5, "forum_state": "current_metadata_only", "horizon": "near", "lane": "simulation_foundation_lane", "leaderboard_url": "https://www.kaggle.com/competitions/pokemon-tcg-ai-battle/leaderboard", "medal_claim_state": "rules_review_required", "next_milestone": "Map the real agent workspace and establish deterministic legality, timeout, matchup, start-state, and side-swapped repeated-episode controls before strategy changes.", "observed_at_utc": "2026-07-25T05:49:09+00:00", "priority": "P1", "proxy_evidence": "verified_read_only_leaderboard", "proxy_rank": 57, "proxy_score": 1030.6, "proxy_state": "below_proxy", "rank_evidence": "reported", "rank_gap_to_proxy": 3478, "research_gate": "BLOCK_REVIEW_REQUIRED", "research_snapshot_utc": "2026-07-25T07:12:05+00:00", "review_cadence": "twice_weekly", "rules_url": "https://www.kaggle.com/competitions/pokemon-tcg-ai-battle/rules", "score_evidence": "verified", "score_gap_to_proxy": 449.6, "stage": "participating_no_local_lane_mapped", "target_boundary": "This is a planning proxy, not an official medal cutoff and not independent validation. Final private standings, eligibility rules, team size, and competition award policy control any actual medal.", "target_policy": "top_one_percent_public_proxy", "team_count": 5667, "why_now": "The live gap is large and no local lane is mapped; infrastructure proof must precede self-play or adaptive strategy work." }, { "competition": "The Pokémon Company - PTCG AI Battle Challenge Strategy", "competition_slug": "pokemon-tcg-ai-battle-challenge-strategy", "current_rank": null, "current_score": null, "deadline": "2026-09-13 23:59:00", "direction": "higher", "discussion_url": "https://www.kaggle.com/competitions/pokemon-tcg-ai-battle-challenge-strategy/discussion", "evaluation_url": "https://www.kaggle.com/competitions/pokemon-tcg-ai-battle-challenge-strategy/overview/evaluation", "focus_order": 6, "forum_state": "current_metadata_only", "horizon": "medium", "lane": "judged_writeup_lane", "leaderboard_url": "https://www.kaggle.com/competitions/pokemon-tcg-ai-battle-challenge-strategy/leaderboard", "medal_claim_state": "judged_track_rules_review_required", "next_milestone": "Build a rules matrix and evidence-backed strategy outline tied to reproducible simulation receipts; do not invent a numeric leaderboard target.", "observed_at_utc": "2026-07-25T05:49:09+00:00", "priority": "P2", "proxy_evidence": "judged_track_no_numeric_proxy", "proxy_rank": null, "proxy_score": null, "proxy_state": "evidence_packet_required", "rank_evidence": "missing", "rank_gap_to_proxy": null, "research_gate": "BLOCK_REVIEW_REQUIRED", "research_snapshot_utc": "2026-07-25T07:12:05+00:00", "review_cadence": "weekly", "rules_url": "https://www.kaggle.com/competitions/pokemon-tcg-ai-battle-challenge-strategy/rules", "score_evidence": "missing", "score_gap_to_proxy": null, "stage": "participating_unranked", "target_boundary": "This is a planning proxy, not an official medal cutoff and not independent validation. Final private standings, eligibility rules, team size, and competition award policy control any actual medal.", "target_policy": "judged_finalist_evidence_packet", "team_count": 240, "why_now": "The strategy track can reuse verified simulation evidence, but it is judged work and must be optimized for rubric coverage rather than ladder score." }, { "competition": "BenchFlow - Agent Skill Lift", "competition_slug": "skill-lift", "current_rank": null, "current_score": null, "deadline": "2026-08-13 06:55:00", "direction": "higher", "discussion_url": "https://www.kaggle.com/competitions/skill-lift/discussion", "evaluation_url": "https://www.kaggle.com/competitions/skill-lift/overview/evaluation", "focus_order": 7, "forum_state": "current_metadata_only", "horizon": "near", "lane": "judged_skill_lane", "leaderboard_url": "https://www.kaggle.com/competitions/skill-lift/leaderboard", "medal_claim_state": "community_track_rules_review_required", "next_milestone": "Complete the narrow injection, exfiltration, destructive-action, network, and sandbox-escape audit of the lean skill archive, then preserve the protected active entry.", "observed_at_utc": "2026-07-25T05:49:09+00:00", "priority": "P1", "proxy_evidence": "judged_track_no_numeric_proxy", "proxy_rank": null, "proxy_score": null, "proxy_state": "evidence_packet_required", "rank_evidence": "missing", "rank_gap_to_proxy": null, "research_gate": "BLOCK_REVIEW_REQUIRED", "research_snapshot_utc": "2026-07-25T07:12:05+00:00", "review_cadence": "daily_until_deadline", "rules_url": "https://www.kaggle.com/competitions/skill-lift/rules", "score_evidence": "missing", "score_gap_to_proxy": null, "stage": "static_candidate_ready", "target_boundary": "This is a planning proxy, not an official medal cutoff and not independent validation. Final private standings, eligibility rules, team size, and competition award policy control any actual medal.", "target_policy": "judged_finalist_evidence_packet", "team_count": 141, "why_now": "The static candidate is compact and close to ready, but capability can be overridden by a negative safety score." }, { "competition": "ARC Prize 2026 - ARC-AGI-3", "competition_slug": "arc-prize-2026-arc-agi-3", "current_rank": null, "current_score": null, "deadline": "2026-11-02 23:59:00", "direction": "higher", "discussion_url": "https://www.kaggle.com/competitions/arc-prize-2026-arc-agi-3/discussion", "evaluation_url": "https://www.kaggle.com/competitions/arc-prize-2026-arc-agi-3/overview/evaluation", "focus_order": 8, "forum_state": "current_metadata_only", "horizon": "long", "lane": "long_horizon_research_lane", "leaderboard_url": "https://www.kaggle.com/competitions/arc-prize-2026-arc-agi-3/leaderboard", "medal_claim_state": "rules_review_required", "next_milestone": "Freeze an evaluator-correct task harness, establish no-intervention and size-matched controls, and measure one routing hypothesis across task families.", "observed_at_utc": "2026-07-25T05:49:09+00:00", "priority": "P3", "proxy_evidence": "verified_read_only_leaderboard", "proxy_rank": 20, "proxy_score": 1.45, "proxy_state": "current_score_missing", "rank_evidence": "missing", "rank_gap_to_proxy": null, "research_gate": "BLOCK_REVIEW_REQUIRED", "research_snapshot_utc": "2026-07-25T07:12:05+00:00", "review_cadence": "weekly", "rules_url": "https://www.kaggle.com/competitions/arc-prize-2026-arc-agi-3/rules", "score_evidence": "missing", "score_gap_to_proxy": null, "stage": "research_frontier", "target_boundary": "This is a planning proxy, not an official medal cutoff and not independent validation. 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